DG Picks The Oscars

And the Oscar goes to…

It’s that time of year again. The night that movie nerds look forward to the whole year. It’s the Oscars. This is MY night. A night where I can just be a movie junkie like the rest of my fellow junkies out there. The night where you can pretend to know what you’re talking about even though you probably don’t. Fake it til you make it. I always struggle with how to show my predictions. I think the best way is to do “Who Should and Who Will Win.” That way, I’ll give you my personal pick as well as who the Academy will pick. For me, I only do major acting categories and Best Picture. The theme for the technical categories will be “When in doubt, La La Land.” Seriously, it’s a good guess. Oh, Damien Chazelle will win Best Director. Last year, I was 4/5 with my only L being Mark Rylance over Sly Stallone. This year is a lot harder so I’m still debating on where to go.

***May contain spoilers. That being said, it’s an Oscars prediction blog. It’s probably going to contain some spoilers yeah, there’s that.***

Let’s get it.

Best Supporting Actress

Aka the easiest category to pick all night.

5. Octavia Spencer, Hidden Figures – One of the only movies I didn’t see so by default, she has to go last. I’ve only heard good things about Hidden Figures though.

4. Nicole Kidman, Lion – Solid movie and a solid performance from Kidman. It’s just that there were a few more standouts. Side note: I’m a goddamn sucker for Australian accents. NEED to marry a woman with an accent. Need it.

3. Michelle Williams, Manchester by the Sea – I’m calling MBTS the Big Three. Affleck, Hedges, and Williams all put on phenomenal performances. Really depressing / uplifting movie and Williams scene outside with Affleck talking about how she didn’t want to move on is A+ acting.

2. Naomie Harris, Moonlight – A drug addicted mother who hates her son. Not the easiest role. I’m about to spit a crazy fact that you can share with your friend. Naomie Harris filmed all of her scenes in three days. THREE DAYS. That’s unreal to comprehend.

And the Oscar goes to…

1. Who Should And Will Win: Viola Davis, Fences – This is what I like to call a “no doubter.” Viola Davis is going to win. Put your pick in, lock the door, and throw away the key. Whether you think Davis should be considered a Lead Actress is another story. However, Davis deserves this Oscar and here’s the scene that proves it.

Best Supporting Actor

Toughest category to predict

5. Michael Shannon, Nocturnal Animals – Very, very weird movie. Suspenseful, but weird. Shannon was good, but how was Aaron Taylor Johnson not nominated even though he won the Golden Globe? I don’t get it.

4. Jeff Bridges, Hell or High Water – No disrespect to Jeff Bridges, but Ben Foster should be nominated in this category. Foster lit up the screen in every scene. Simply put, he got snubbed.

3. Dev Patel, Lion – This is the wild card of this category. A lot of critics are thinking Patel can be a late steal in this category after his Bafta win. Patel was good, but once again, no disrespect to Patel, Sunny Pawar was better. My man is 8 years old and he has more talent in his pinky than I have in my whole body.

2. Lucas Hedges, Manchester by the Sea – Another shout out to a young actor. Hedges was spectacular and made up 1/3 of the Big Three. He was not only serious when he had to be, his long con of trying to have 2 girlfriends had me laughing in a mostly depressing movie. Bright future for Hedges.

And the Oscar goes to…

1. Who Should And Will Win: Mahershala Ali, Moonlight – I understand that Ali was only in 1/3 of the movie and that’s going to ruffle some feathers, but I’d argue that Ali was the most important character in Moonlight. He set the tone for Chiron and the rest of his life. Juan was the only male figure that Chiron ever looked up to. It’s all he knew so Chiron formed his life based on Juan’s life. Ali is a journeyman and I hope this win opens up a flood of new opportunities for him. Plus, Remy Danton deserves a break after dealing with Frank Underwood most of his political life.

Best Actress

2nd toughest category to predict

5. Meryl Streep, Florence Foster Jenkins – Another movie that I did not see so by default, she’s not winning. Side note, Florence Foster Jenkins will always remind me of the scene in This Is Us when Randall and Beth go to the hotel and Randall is PUMPED they have Florence Foster Jenkins.

4. Ruth Negga, Loving – I saw Loving. Not the best movie I’ve ever seen. A lot of people will say Amy Adams deserved to have this spot (which I tend to agree), but Negga had a good performance.

3. Isabelle Huppert, Elle – I just love saying this name in my fake French accent. I did NOT expect Huppert to win at the Globes so she definitely can win this award. I won’t be as shocked this time if it happens. Re2pect for being a first time nominee in a badass role at 63.

2.Who Should Win: Natalie Portman, Jackie – Now this is who I thought would win at the Globes. I thought Portman would be the frontrunner with her performance as Jackie Kennedy. Talk about spot on, Portman WAS Jackie Kennedy. I’m sooooooo tempted to pick her to win, but I’m going to follow my advice that I gave from the beginning.

And the Oscar goes to…

1. Who Will Win: Emma Stone, La La Land – “When in doubt, La La Land.” Let me be clear, I have zero problem with Stone winning. Zero. I really liked La La Land and I love Emma Stone. She has the “girl next door / cool girl” vibe to her that I’m all about. My only critique is that she will not be performing “Audition” at the ceremony. Here’s to the ones who DREAMMMMMMMMM.

Best Actor

Two horse race

5. Viggo Mortenson, Captain Fantastic – Watched this on a plane. Kind’ve a strange movie but original concept for sure. Viggo will always hold a special place in my heart as Aragorn. SONS OF GONDOR! SONS OF ROHAN! STAND YOUR GROUND!

4. Andrew Garfield, Hacksaw Ridge – Really liked Hacksaw Ridge and Garfield was deserving of this nomination. I’m realizing that it’s hard to describe all of these nominees so this is a side note. Nothing against you Andy, but I hated The Amazing Spider-man 2. I also think you were too good looking and not nerdy enough to play Peter Parker. That’s a compliment if I’ve ever heard one.

3. Ryan Gosling, La La Land – One of the few categories that La La Land will lose, but let’s be honest, does Ryan Gosling lose in life? I will be the first to admit that Ryan Gosling is arguably one of the best looking men on the planet. I kid you not. I googled “Ryan Gosling haircut” for about a week straight after watching La La Land because I wanted to be like Gosling. Smooth, sophisticated, and The Man. That’s a winner in my book. Can I tap dance with you? Asking for a friend.

2. Denzel Washington, Fences – Any other year and Denzel wins. The win at the SAGs came as a surprise to me because my #1 in this category was dominating the awards scene. That being said, Fences was dialogue heavy without a lot of setting changes so the actors had to carry the movie. I think it’s safe to say Viola Davis and Denzel Washington did a more than adequate job. That voice is just so damn powerful. Mesmerizing.

And the Oscar goes to…

1. Who Should And Who Will Win: Casey Affleck, Manchester by the Sea – When you look up the phrase “how to act,” Casey Affleck’s performance should be the definition. What a gut wrenching performance from Affleck. One of the best acting performances I’ve honestly ever seen. He was that good. The depressed persona he had to channel for his character after experiencing the worst tragedy in his life was jaw dropping. He was that good and deserves every acting award known to man.

Best Picture

The mack daddy of em all and no, it’s not the Rose Bowl.

9. Hidden Figures – Didn’t get around to seeing it. SMH Dan, SMH.

8. Fences – Denzel and Viola – Awesome. However, this movie is not for everyone since it’s shot like a play. I also sat in the 2nd row for this movie so that 100% altered my opinion.

7. Hacksaw Ridge – Good movie. Unique take on a wartime film. Just better movies to choose from.

6. Lion – Another uplifting story. The search for one’s family is always going to be a powerful story. As I stated before, Sunny Pawar stole the show. God bless Google.

5. Manchester by the Sea – This will probably be to lowb on my list for some people. Some might think it should be higher on the list / if not #1. I know it was super depressing / uplifting, but it was kind’ve slow for me at points. Still a solid movie and 3 acting performances for the ages.

4. Arrival – The mind fuck of all mind fucks. I say this all the time, but if it’s an original and unique concept, sign me up. There’s been 100s of alien invasion movie, but Arrival put a fresh perspective on a common tale.

3. Hell or High Water – I loved this movie so much. Everything about it was perfect. The length, the action, the characters. Every scene had a purpose and the story moved perfectly. It also gave you a Top 5 scene for the year. Just a really entertaining movie.

2. Who Should Win: Moonlight – Moonlight was my #1 movie of the year and for that reason, it should win Best Picture. I don’t use the word beautiful a lot, but it was a beautiful ending to a sad story. The perfect mix of every emotion. Happy at times. Tough to watch at times. I loved everything about it.

And the Oscar goes to…

1. Who Will Win: La La Land – La La Land was very enjoyable. I’ll be honest. I wanted to not like La La Land just because I thought it would be a letdown because it was overhyped. Well, I’ll eat my words because I was so, so wrong. It’s considered a musical, but this is not your typical musical, and I love that. It’s modern day and it makes jazz cool. Emma Stone and Ryan Gosling should be in every movie together because their chemistry is off the charts. I leave you with the tune of all tunes to hum, City of Stars.

Enjoy the Oscars.

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